Oscars Analysis: Final Predictions - Wins, Robberies, & Imposters - Awards Outlook

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Awards analysis is provided by Sean from @MathTeacherMovies.

Oscar Analysis: Final Predictions - Wins, Robberies, & Imposters

The day has come! The following are my final predictions for this year’s Oscars that will be happening this Sunday. In each category, I put what Will Win, Should Win, Got Robbed and Shouldn’t Be There. There are times that I was a coward and couldn't pick a nominee because they are all deserving. There were other categories where I did not see each nomination and did not feel right choosing. Enjoy these picks. 

Best Picture

  • Will Win: Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed: Are You there God, It’s Me Margaret? 

  • Shouldn’t Be There:  (All Deserving)

Best Actress

  • Will Win: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Should Win: Emma Stone, Poor Things

  • Got Robbed: Greta Lee, Past Lives

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Annette Bening, Nyad

Best Actor

  • Will Win: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed: Leonardo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (All Deserving)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Will Win: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

  • Should Win: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

  • Got Robbed: Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret

  • Shouldn’t Be There: America Ferrera, Barbie

Best Supporting Actor

  • Will Win: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed: Charles Melton, May December

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (All Deserving)

Best Director

  • Will Win: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed: Greta Gerwig, Barbie

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (All Deserving)

Best Original Screenplay

  • Will Win: Anatomy of a Fall

  • Should Win: Anatomy of a Fall

  • Got Robbed: You Hurt My Feelings

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Maestro

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Will Win: American Fiction

  • Should Win: Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed: Killers of the Flower Moon 

  • Shouldn’t Be There: American Fiction 

Best Cinematography

  • Will Win: Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Maestro

  • Got Robbed: The Zone of Interest

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (All Deserving)

Best Original Score

  • Will Win: Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Oppenheimer

  • Got Robbed:The Boy and the Heron

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny

Best Original Song

  • Will Win: "What Was I Made For?" Barbie

  • Should Win: "I'm Just Ken," Barbie

  • Got Robbed: "Peaches," The Super Mario Bros Movie

  • Shouldn’t Be There: "The Fire Inside," Flamin' Hot

Best Editing

  • Will Win: Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: Anatomy of a Fall

  • Got Robbed: How to Blow Up a Pipeline

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Poor Things

Best Production Design

  • Will Win: Poor Things

  • Should Win: Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Got Robbed: The Zone of Interest

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Napoleon

Best Costume Design

  • Will Win: Poor Things

  • Should Win: Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Got Robbed: Wonka 

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Oppenheimer

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • Will Win: Maestro

  • Should Win: Maestro

  • Got Robbed:  Killers of the Flower Moon

  • Shouldn’t Be There: Golda

Best Sound

  • Will Win: Oppenheimer

  • Should Win: The Zone of Interest

  • Got Robbed: Napoleon

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (All Deserving)

Best Visual Effects

  • Will Win: The Creator

  • Should Win: Napoleon

  • Got Robbed: Oppenheimer

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (Haven’t Seen Them All)

Best International Feature

  • Will Win: The Zone of Interest

  • Should Win: The Zone of Interest

  • Got Robbed: 20 Days in Mariupol

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (Haven’t Seen Them All)

Best Animated Feature

  • Will Win: The Boy and the Heron

  • Should Win: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

  • Got Robbed: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (Haven’t Seen Them All)

Best Documentary Feature

  • Will Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

  • Should Win: 20 Days in Mariupol

  • Got Robbed: American Symphony

  • Shouldn’t Be There: (Haven’t Seen them All) 

Best Live-Action Short

  • Will Win: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

  • Should Win: Knight of Fortune 

Best Documentary Short

  • Will Win: Nǎi Nai and Wài Pó 

  • Should Win: The Last Repair Shop 

Best Animated Short

  • Will Win: Letter to a Pig

  • Should Win: Pachyderme 

I end many of these articles with “things could change” and “nothing is set in stone.” While I can no longer say this (a lot seems locked), perhaps some of these predictions that could surprise us and make things exciting come Sunday!

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